My pick in bold with the line I have, vs the current line. For example, I have the Jets @ +1, but the current line is +3. Stupid me, but perhaps I still win that one. You never know most weeks, but I have no idea what’s going to happen this week, but here’s my guesses. Bring on the playoffs.
1:00 PM Washington +9 Philadelphia -9 100
1:00 PM N.Y. Jets +1 Miami -3 100
1:00 PM Carolina +7.5 New Orleans -7.5 100
1:00 PM Detroit -4.5 Green Bay +4.5 100
1:00 PM San Francisco -10.5 St. Louis +10.5 100
1:00 PM Indianapolis +3.5 Jacksonville -3.5 100
1:00 PM Buffalo +13 New England -10.5 100
1:00 PM Tennessee -1 Houston +1 100
1:00 PM Chicago +1 Minnesota -1 100
4:15 PM Pittsburgh -6.5 Cleveland +6.5 100
4:15 PM Baltimore -1.5 Cincinnati +1 100
4:15 PM Tampa Bay +10.5 Atlanta -10.5 100
4:15 PM Kansas City +3 Denver -3 100
4:15 PM San Diego +3 Oakland -3 100
4:15 PM Seattle +3 Arizona -3 100
8:20 PM Dallas +3 N.Y. Giants -3 100
The Colts finally picked up a win last week and are still the leader in the Suck for Luck sweepstakes. The Vikings and Rams are holding steady at two wins, so the Colts have to be careful here not to accidentally win either of these remaining games.
Teams that picked up their first win after week 13 are 2-2 ATS in their next game, and 0-0 ATS if hosting a division game. This is apparently uncharted territory. The Colts average 15.1 PPG, but put up 27 last week, their highest output of the season. One of those TDs was an interception return and another was an 80 yard run with 3 minutes left in the game. On the TD run, it appeared the back was going to be stopped behind the line of scrimmage, but he reversed field and scampered down the right sideline for the TD. Both of those plays are unlikely to be repeated this week. The other scoring was a 43 yard drive resulting in a TD pass, a 57 yard rive for a FG, and an 8 yard drive for a FG. Indy had 10 first downs and 82 yards passing. Despite the score, the Colts didn’t exactly dominate the Titans. The Colts are still a terrible team that managed to beat an average Titans team.
This week, the Colts face a very strong Texans team and the line is only 5′. Naturally, most people are on the Texans. However, the Texans have been horrible in the spotlight games, and they’ve never won in Indy. Colts QB Orlovsky spent that last two years in a Texans uniform. Perhaps he knows all their secrets. I don’t think his vast knowledge of the Texans will be of any use. I still think the Colts are terrible.
Houston has a good run defense. That should be enough to stop the Colts. On offense, the Texans should be able to run or throw against the Colts. Even the Colts special teams are poor. If there are valid reasons to back the Colts, I haven’t discovered them yet.
I’ll keep looking, but for now I’m locking in Texans -5′ for the Thursday night game.
