Dolphins -3 over Raiders
The Raiders have a pile of injuries to WR and McFadden. There’s also the Rolando McClain gun incident http://www.mercurynews.com/raiders/ci_19466173
The Dolphins have been playing better as of late, and they last played on Thanksgiving, meaning they had more time to prepare.
The Raiders are 5-0 ATS this year on the road. I’m still taking the Dolphins. The Raiders have the lead in the AFC West, but that doesn’t mean they know how to deal with success.
Titans +2′ over the Bills WSEX had the best line on this. They had 2.5 this morning, when I was seeing 1 at other shops. Strange. If they wanted Titans $, I just gave ‘em some. SIA had 2.5 as well.
The Bills last three games were all on the road, all losses. They finally return home to face a non-divisional opponent in the Titans. Teams in this situation after week 10 are 8-1 ATS
Buffalo’s homecoming won’t exactly be a ticker tape parade. The Bills game most likely will not be sold out. Due to injuries among the defensive front, the Bills are shifting to more of a 4-3 defense. Bad time to be tinkering with the defense. They don’t have their NT, and they don’t have any linebackers that can get to the outside or rush the passer. In short, the Bills defense is terrible up front. They don’t help out the secondary or rush the passer, and they don’t make plays in the offensive backfield. The leading tackler on the Bills is the SS. He’s out for this game.
Buffalo is 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year, while the Titans are 2-1-2 ATS as a dog. I have every reason to believe this will be a close game, but this appears to be two teams moving in opposite directions. The Titans are figuring it out, while the Bills are struggling.
Taking the Titans and the points.
Redskins +3 over the Jets
In support of the Redskins, I find that teams that just broke a 6 game losing streak last week and are at home this week are 10-4 ATS
The average score in those games was 20.9 to 19.5 Perhaps we should expect a close game here. Both defenses are solid.
If you take out all the divisional games, the home team is 4-0 ATS, winning by a total of 29.5 to 16. Rex Grossman, anyone?
I see Jets -3 and Jets -1.5 and that 72% of the Wagerline crowd is on the Jets. 70% at Carib is on the Jets. 90% of the players in the Yahoo pick’em games are on the Jets. Of course the Jets are going to win! Apparently 90% of the people think so.
I’m taking the Redskins.
